Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.004271 0.004492 0.004718 0.004969 0.005239 0.005520 0.005838
2025-10-12 0.003934 0.004264 0.004619 0.005029 0.005491 0.006000 0.006604
2025-10-19 0.003670 0.004058 0.004485 0.004995 0.005589 0.006266 0.007101
2025-10-26 0.003473 0.003900 0.004382 0.004969 0.005674 0.006499 0.007552
2025-11-02 0.003305 0.003760 0.004282 0.004932 0.005730 0.006689 0.007947
2025-11-09 0.003228 0.003718 0.004290 0.005017 0.005930 0.007055 0.008576
2025-11-16 0.003098 0.003604 0.004203 0.004977 0.005967 0.007213 0.008941
2025-11-23 0.002999 0.003520 0.004147 0.004969 0.006039 0.007414 0.009367
2025-11-30 0.002878 0.003405 0.004045 0.004896 0.006020 0.007490 0.009623
2025-12-07 0.002775 0.003306 0.003958 0.004836 0.006013 0.007578 0.009895
2025-12-14 0.002702 0.003242 0.003913 0.004827 0.006070 0.007753 0.010298
2025-12-21 0.002576 0.003107 0.003771 0.004683 0.005936 0.007654 0.010292
2025-12-28 0.002526 0.003067 0.003752 0.004703 0.006031 0.007882 0.010790
2026-01-04 0.002492 0.003048 0.003759 0.004760 0.006177 0.008191 0.011430
2026-01-11 0.002427 0.002985 0.003705 0.004728 0.006196 0.008313 0.011784
2026-01-18 0.002369 0.002929 0.003658 0.004705 0.006224 0.008448 0.012165
2026-01-25 0.002310 0.002871 0.003606 0.004670 0.006233 0.008553 0.012503
2026-02-01 0.002295 0.002871 0.003633 0.004749 0.006413 0.008927 0.013314
2026-02-08 0.002240 0.002815 0.003581 0.004712 0.006415 0.009024 0.013656
2026-02-15 0.002199 0.002776 0.003550 0.004705 0.006462 0.009192 0.014132
2026-02-22 0.002139 0.002710 0.003480 0.004637 0.006412 0.009200 0.014321
2026-03-01 0.002086 0.002652 0.003420 0.004581 0.006379 0.009233 0.014556
2026-03-08 0.002050 0.002618 0.003393 0.004573 0.006419 0.009389 0.015029